Kentucky +14 2.2% play 
Kentucky had 3 defensive players turn the NFL down to return for their senior season. The idea? They want to win this game and leave their mark on this program. They nearly did it last year holding a 24-14 lead in the final minutes before losing 28-27 in heartbreaking fashion.

Florida is getting far too much respect here in the number after defeating an FCS foes last week in Charleston Southern who went 6-5 last year. Meanwhile, Kentucky actually had a very impressive victory over Central Michigan despite the 35-20 final. Kentucky did not actually cover the spread due to 4 turnovers. Their defense dominated and the rushing game looked better than ever.
Florida and Kentucky have their guys back in the trenches. The trenches definitely go to Florida who outgained Kentucky on the ground by 63 yards last season. However, Florida is breaking in a new defense switching to the 3-4 which could create some issues for them in the early going. Kentucky breaks in a new QB in the #1 JUCO transfer Terry Wilson who is extremely mobile. I expect Kentucky to have more success running the ball and they should be able to do a better job defending the run.

Kentucky have been close in 3 of the last 4 years against Florida. This is the most experienced Kentucky team that Mark Stoops has had and his defense should be better this season as they have improved the last two years. Florida cracked the top 25, after their offense showed off against an FCS Foe, and I think it's extremely misleading. Florida still does not have a QB. Felipe Franks really does not fit the mold of what Dan Mullen wants to do and I don't anticipate them putting up a ton of points in this one. Expect Kentucky to be right back in the thick of things for the 4th time in the last 5 years. Maybe they can finally break the 31 game losing streak.

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